NZIER Consensus Forecasts shows growth outlook highly uncertain
March 16, 2020
Note: Consensus Forecasts were finalised prior to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s emergency OCR cut of 75bp which was announced at 8am this morning. Read more
New Zealand's pandemic response: Best practice or just a practice run? NZIER Insight 84
February 20, 2020
Using evidence from health and economic literature, health economists Sarah Hogan and Todd Krieble find that New Zealand should do more to prepare for pandemics and assist the Pacific Islands. New Zealand should not rely on travel bans which are likely to be ineffective. Read more
NZIER’s Shadow Board recommends no change under coronavirus cloud
February 10, 2020
There remains a wide range of views amongst the NZIER Policy Shadow Board on the appropriate level of the OCR at the Monetary Policy Statement (MPS) release on Wednesday. Although Shadow Board members acknowledged the positive developments in the New Zealand economy, the recent corona … Read more
NZIER Consensus Forecasts show a slightly lower growth outlook
December 16, 2019
The growth outlook has been revised down slightly in the latest NZIER Consensus Forecasts, relative to the previous quarter. Read more
Recession : What are the chances? NZIER Insight 83
December 12, 2019
Talk that a recession could hit the global and New Zealand economies has ramped up in recent months. We look at some of the warning signs we should watch out for, and the tools available to combat the effects if a recession was to occur. We find that although the New Zealand economy i … Read more
2019 Summer Reading List for the Prime Minister
December 3, 2019
This list recommends books that we hope the Prime Minister, her advisors, and anyone interested in economics and public policy, will find both informative and enjoyable to read. Read more
NZIER’s Shadow Board remains divided on where OCR should be
November 11, 2019
The range of views amongst the NZIER Policy Shadow Board on the appropriate level of the OCR at the Monetary Policy Statement (MPS) release on Wednesday has widened since September. Shadow Board members, on average, still called for the OCR to be kept on hold, but there was an increas … Read more
NZIER’s Shadow Board divided on where OCR should be
September 23, 2019
There has been increased divergence in views amongst the NZIER Monetary Policy Shadow Board on what the OCR should be at the OCR Review this Wednesday. This widening in the range of views follows the Reserve Bank’s surprise decision to cut the OCR by 50 basis points at its August meet … Read more
NZIER Consensus Forecasts shows mixed growth outlook
September 16, 2019
The latest NZIER Consensus Forecasts shows another downward revision to the growth outlook, relative to the previous quarter. Read more
NZIER’s Shadow Board sees stronger easing bias as appropriate
August 5, 2019
NZIER’s Monetary Policy Shadow Board have lowered their recommendation for the OCR but remained centred on a no-change decision for Wednesday. There was a wide range of views this time, and NZIER Shadow Board members distinguished between their views on what they think the Reserve Ban … Read more