Is the sky falling? NZIER Insight 82
July 1, 2019
Business confidence has decreased significantly over the last year. What does this tell us about the likely path of economic growth? Can we use this data to predict the next recession? Read more
NZIER’s Shadow Board adjusts OCR recommendation in the wake of cut
June 24, 2019
NZIER’s Monetary Policy Shadow Board has adjusted their recommendation in the wake of the Reserve Bank’s OCR cut in May. The NZIER Shadow Board recommends the Reserve Bank should leave the OCR on hold at the OCR Review on Wednesday. However, there have been mixed views as to whether t … Read more
NZIER Consensus Forecasts shows lower growth outlook
June 17, 2019
The latest NZIER Consensus Forecasts shows a softer near-term growth outlook, relative to the previous quarter. Read more
Using big data and economics to understand and improve wellbeing - NZIER Insight 81
June 10, 2019
Wellbeing and data are increasingly at the heart of government policy-making. This Insight shows how economic explanations for behaviour, combined with large datasets, can inform policy. Read more
Robbing Peter to pay Paul: Okun's Law and labour market reform - NZIER Insight 80
May 29, 2019
With teachers striking, and New Zealand's first "Wellbeing Budget" about to be released, Robbing Peter to pay Paul: Okun's Law and labour market reform is a poignant reminder that competitive markets are the "welfare engines" of the economy. Okun's law illustrates how New Zealand's ec … Read more
NZIER’s Shadow Board still recommends the OCR be kept on hold
May 6, 2019
NZIER’s Monetary Policy Shadow Board continues to remain of the view that the OCR should not be changed at the Reserve Bank’s Monetary Policy Statement on Wednesday. However, there has been an increase in easing bias relative to the previous OCR decision. Read more
What our housing conversations no longer say - NZIER Insight 79
March 29, 2019
New Zealand’s housing conversation has always been a metaphor for different things. Now houses are strictly investments. We have an obsession with them. Using data from DigitalNZ, this Insight looks at how the conversation about housing in New Zealand has changed over time. Read more
NZIER’s Shadow Board continues to recommend unchanged OCR
March 25, 2019
NZIER’s Monetary Policy Shadow Board continues to remain firmly of the view that the OCR should not be changed ahead of the Reserve Bank’s OCR Review on Wednesday. Read more
NZIER Consensus Forecasts shows lower growth outlook
March 18, 2019
The latest NZIER Consensus Forecasts shows a slightly lower growth outlook, relative to the previous quarter. Read more
NZIER’s Shadow Board more certain that OCR should remain unchanged
February 11, 2019
NZIER’s Monetary Policy Shadow Board’s view on the Official Cash Rate (OCR) continues to be firmly on no change ahead of the Reserve Bank’s Monetary Policy Statement on Wednesday. Read more