NZIER Consensus Forecasts show a slightly lower growth outlook
December 16, 2019
The growth outlook has been revised down slightly in the latest NZIER Consensus Forecasts, relative to the previous quarter. Read more
Recession : What are the chances? NZIER Insight 83
December 12, 2019
Talk that a recession could hit the global and New Zealand economies has ramped up in recent months. We look at some of the warning signs we should watch out for, and the tools available to combat the effects if a recession was to occur. We find that although the New Zealand economy i … Read more
2019 Summer Reading List for the Prime Minister
December 3, 2019
This list recommends books that we hope the Prime Minister, her advisors, and anyone interested in economics and public policy, will find both informative and enjoyable to read. Read more
NZIER’s Shadow Board remains divided on where OCR should be
November 11, 2019
The range of views amongst the NZIER Policy Shadow Board on the appropriate level of the OCR at the Monetary Policy Statement (MPS) release on Wednesday has widened since September. Shadow Board members, on average, still called for the OCR to be kept on hold, but there was an increas … Read more
NZIER’s Shadow Board divided on where OCR should be
September 23, 2019
There has been increased divergence in views amongst the NZIER Monetary Policy Shadow Board on what the OCR should be at the OCR Review this Wednesday. This widening in the range of views follows the Reserve Bank’s surprise decision to cut the OCR by 50 basis points at its August meet … Read more
NZIER Consensus Forecasts shows mixed growth outlook
September 16, 2019
The latest NZIER Consensus Forecasts shows another downward revision to the growth outlook, relative to the previous quarter. Read more
NZIER’s Shadow Board sees stronger easing bias as appropriate
August 5, 2019
NZIER’s Monetary Policy Shadow Board have lowered their recommendation for the OCR but remained centred on a no-change decision for Wednesday. There was a wide range of views this time, and NZIER Shadow Board members distinguished between their views on what they think the Reserve Ban … Read more
Is the sky falling? NZIER Insight 82
July 1, 2019
Business confidence has decreased significantly over the last year. What does this tell us about the likely path of economic growth? Can we use this data to predict the next recession? Read more
NZIER’s Shadow Board adjusts OCR recommendation in the wake of cut
June 24, 2019
NZIER’s Monetary Policy Shadow Board has adjusted their recommendation in the wake of the Reserve Bank’s OCR cut in May. The NZIER Shadow Board recommends the Reserve Bank should leave the OCR on hold at the OCR Review on Wednesday. However, there have been mixed views as to whether t … Read more
NZIER Consensus Forecasts shows lower growth outlook
June 17, 2019
The latest NZIER Consensus Forecasts shows a softer near-term growth outlook, relative to the previous quarter. Read more