Latest publications

What might US Withdrawal from the World Trade Organization (WTO) mean for New Zealand?

Modelling by NZIER suggests that New Zealand medium term exposure to US withdrawal from World Trade Organisation (WTO) is surprisingly limited. We modelled five different scenarios of global and New Zealand responses to the US imposing tariff rates last seen in the great depression. W … Read more

Literature scan on the economic effects of social protection expenditure

NZIER report to a coalition of non-government organisations with an interest in poverty. NZIER prepared a literature scan to provide theoretical and evidential insights to a coalition of non-government organisations (with an interest in poverty) into the microeconomic and long term ma … Read more

Independent schools: What would a smart state do? Putting it simply

Independent Schools of New Zealand commissioned NZIER to review the role of the independent schools sector and to review the performance of state system schools. In brief we found that independent schools improve student outcomes with higher PISA scores and NCEA endorsement rates (aro … Read more

NZIER’s Shadow Board considers negative OCR unnecessary

We are continuing to seek our Shadow Board members’ views on whether the Official Cash Rate (OCR) should be negative and if the Reserve Bank should expand its quantitative easing (QE). Read more

The social and economic costs of stroke in New Zealand : 2020 update

Stroke continues to be a significant contributor to the burden of disease, particularly for Māori and Pacific people. The economic and social costs of stroke can be reduced with cost-effective interventions, but access continues to be a challenge. Read more

Economic potential of cloud-based business tools

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Land-based industries see New Zealand through tough COVID times - NZIER Insight 90

Covid-19 has changed the trade game that New Zealand plays. With the structure of the New Zealand economy based on our exports the stakes are high. Now that New Zealand has shifted through the lockdown levels and arrived at Alert Level 1, it is a good time to ask why our land-based ex … Read more

Migration after COVID-19 - NZIER Insight 89

New Zealand has put up a 'no entry' sign. As well as stopping international tourism; we have turned off historically high rates of inward economic migration, forgoing what has been at best a small positive impact on GDP per capita. New Zealand closed the border in response to Covid-19 … Read more

Economic impact of research and development in the wine sector

Bragato Research Institute (BRI) commissioned NZIER to estimate the impact of research and development (R&D) in the wine sector, and the impact of BRI activities on the Marlborough region, the national winegrowing industry and the wider economy. Read more

NZIER’s Shadow Board continues to favour further QE over a negative OCR

There remains a wide range of views amongst the Shadow Board on whether more monetary policy stimulus is required, and in what form. Overall, the consensus amongst the Shadow Board is that more stimulus would be required over the next twelve months, with the majority favouring an expa … Read more

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