Is dairy our biggest achievement or yesterday's news? NZIER Insight 91
September 1, 2020
The dairy industry has proved resilient through the COVID crisis. But what of the future? This paper looks at the dairy industry prospects over the next ten years. We find that the most important challenges are domestic supply side issues (conforming to climate change and water qualit … Read more
The potential local and regional impacts of COVID-19 in New Zealand with a focus on tourism - NZIER Public Discussion Paper 2020/3
August 13, 2020
This working paper was prepared at NZIER by Christina Leung, Laëtitia Leroy de Morel, Glyn Wittwer (CoPS) and Dion Gämperle. It was presented at the 23rd Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis organised by GTAP (17–19 June 2020). Read more
The retail employment and tax costs of Class 4 gambling in New Zealand
August 12, 2020
NZIER’s report shows that Class 4 gambling expenditure could generate over $445m additional retail industry sales per annum, resulting in an extra 1,127 full-time equivalent jobs. Given that Class 4 gambling machines are concentrated in high deprivation areas, this preliminary analysi … Read more
What might US Withdrawal from the World Trade Organization (WTO) mean for New Zealand?
August 11, 2020
Modelling by NZIER suggests that New Zealand medium term exposure to US withdrawal from World Trade Organisation (WTO) is surprisingly limited. We modelled five different scenarios of global and New Zealand responses to the US imposing tariff rates last seen in the great depression. W … Read more
Literature scan on the economic effects of social protection expenditure
August 11, 2020
NZIER report to a coalition of non-government organisations with an interest in poverty. NZIER prepared a literature scan to provide theoretical and evidential insights to a coalition of non-government organisations (with an interest in poverty) into the microeconomic and long term ma … Read more
Independent schools: What would a smart state do? Putting it simply
August 10, 2020
Independent Schools of New Zealand commissioned NZIER to review the role of the independent schools sector and to review the performance of state system schools. In brief we found that independent schools improve student outcomes with higher PISA scores and NCEA endorsement rates (aro … Read more
NZIER’s Shadow Board considers negative OCR unnecessary
August 10, 2020
We are continuing to seek our Shadow Board members’ views on whether the Official Cash Rate (OCR) should be negative and if the Reserve Bank should expand its quantitative easing (QE). Read more
The social and economic costs of stroke in New Zealand : 2020 update
July 29, 2020
Stroke continues to be a significant contributor to the burden of disease, particularly for Māori and Pacific people. The economic and social costs of stroke can be reduced with cost-effective interventions, but access continues to be a challenge. Read more
Land-based industries see New Zealand through tough COVID times - NZIER Insight 90
July 21, 2020
Covid-19 has changed the trade game that New Zealand plays. With the structure of the New Zealand economy based on our exports the stakes are high. Now that New Zealand has shifted through the lockdown levels and arrived at Alert Level 1, it is a good time to ask why our land-based ex … Read more