Economics like there's no tomorrow - NZIER Insight 32
December 2, 2011
Do you get the sense that New Zealand doesn’t invest in the major public infrastructure facilities like we used to? Previous generations built entire networks for rail, road, water and energy. Only Muldoon’s Think Big projects and the current ‘Roads of National Significance’ might com … Read more
Be a whizz at writing a RIS - NZIER Insight 31
November 18, 2011
Decision makers need information. Whether they are ministers, mayors or corporate execs, all will need to weigh up the costs and benefits of their actions. Advisers and analysts have the role of collating and presenting the necessary information in a snappy and digestible form. In a c … Read more
Canterbury after the earthquakes - NZIER Insight 30
November 8, 2011
The Canterbury earthquakes have disrupted lives and the economy. This Insight brings together key economic indicators to provide a snapshot of the economic disruption. The true cost of the disaster will not be known for some time. The immediate clean-up and reconstruction is boosting … Read more
QSBO as a forecasting tool - NZIER working paper 2011/5
October 19, 2011
This paper investigates using Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion (QSBO) data to forecast GDP and inflation a year ahead of official data releases using a VAR model and principal component analysis. The key finding is that applying such an approach to QSBO data provides robust predic … Read more
No bias in pump price movements up or down - NZIER Insight 29
September 15, 2011
Petrol prices have been rising in recent weeks. It may feel like petrol prices at the pump move up faster and further than they fall, but we find there is no empirical evidence to support this. Prices fall as quick and as far as they rise when crude oil prices change. Read more
Flowing on from the NPS - NZIER Insight 28
July 22, 2011
The National Policy Statement (NPS) on Freshwater Management is a good first step, but it may leave local authorities in the dark about how to meet its intent. Read more
QSBO bibliography : selected research using the NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion
May 30, 2011
NZIER working paper 2004/2 by Robert Buckle and Brian Silverstone. Revised and updated May 2011 Read more
Is Working for Families working for families? NZIER Insight 27
April 1, 2011
Working for Families (WFF) was introduced between 2004 and 2007 to "make work pay" and ensure income adequacy for families with children. The policy has reduced child poverty, drawn an extra 8,100 sole parents into some paid work, encouraged more of them to work 20 hours or more, and … Read more
The evolving NZ-US trade relationship : selected case studies
March 15, 2011
NZIER contributed the trade and investment chapter of the book Pacific Partners - The future of U.S.-New Zealand Relations, published by the Centre for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) in Washington DC and the New Zealand Institute of International Affairs (NZIIA) in Welling … Read more
Reprioritising infrastructure projects - NZIER Insight 26
March 8, 2011
The cost of Christchurch's devastating earthquakes means that the Government's prior promises to undertake specific infrastructure projects now have to be reviewed. As the Finance Ministers signalled, funding Christchurch's recovery will prompt 'a fairly hard look at our capital inves … Read more