In this section you can search or browse for material published by NZIER.
NZIER members must be logged in to access member only publications:
Quarterly Predictions, 
Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion and 
CPI Forecasts.
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Our 
Public Good material and 
NZIER reports to clients are freely available.
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Confidence bounces back - Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion, January 2016
19 January 2016
This publication is only available to NZIER members. The media release can be read here.
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Inflation expected to lift back to target band in 2016 - Consensus CPI Forecasts, December 2015
11 December 2015
This publication is only available to NZIER members.
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Further moderation in growth expected - Consensus Forecasts, December 2015
11 December 2015
The latest NZIER Consensus Forecasts shows forecasters have pared back growth expectations for the upcoming year. The downward revisions largely reflect expectations of weaker growth in investment.
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NZIER’s Shadow Board counsels the Reserve Bank to hold fire
09 December 2015
NZIER’s Monetary Policy Shadow Board recommends the Reserve Bank holds the interest rate at 2.75 percent in its Official Cash Rate announcement this Thursday.
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Time to reassess inflation targeting - NZIER Insight 57
01 December 2015
By Christina LeungFor over a generation, inflation targeting has been successful in managing inflation without reducing economic growth. But the economic environment is changing. No longer does the Reserve Bank need to lift rates to reducedemand. Today the Reserve Bank needs to deal with supply shocks that rapidly change how New Zealand firms organise activity. Increasingly that makes inflation targeting no longer fit-for-purpose. Instead, targeting income growth – the sum of inflation and economic growth – looks the best bet to deal with new economic conditions.
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New Zealand Investment Quarterly - December 2015
01 December 2015
This publication is only available to IQ subscribers.
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New travel charge borderline at best - NZIER Insight 56
26 November 2015
The Government wants to make travellers pay for the costs of border control but the border charge is a poor user charge and an inefficient tax: it will dampen services exports and hence economic growth more than other revenue raising options. If we need additional border control it would be far better to fund the system out of general taxation and welcome more visitors to New Zealand.
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Quarterly Predictions, December 2015
24 November 2015
This publication is only available to NZIER members. The media release can be read here.
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IoD-NZIER Director Sentiment Survey 2015
16 November 2015
The New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (NZIER) with the Institute of Directors (IoD) carried out its annual Director Sentiment Survey. The survey, designed to take the pulse of the director community revealed technological and business disruption, and the time spent on risk oversight are key challenges for directors.
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The economic contribution of marine farming in the Marlborough region : A Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) analysis
09 November 2015
By Peter Clough and Erwin CorongA report to the Marine Farming Association.
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NZIER’s Shadow Board says leave the OCR at 2.75%
28 October 2015
By Christina LeungNew Zealand Institute of Economic Research (Inc) Media releaseEmbargoed until 1am Wednesday 28 October 2015 NZIER’s Monetary Policy Shadow Board recommends the Reserve Bank holds the interest rate at 2.75 percent in its Official Cash Rate announcement this Thursday.
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Impact of the Cawthron Institute : Economic contribution to Nelson and New Zealand
22 October 2015
By Laurence KubiakA report for the Cawthron Institute.
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Disruptive Technologies: Risks, Opportunities – Can New Zealand make them most of them?
21 October 2015
By Laurence Kubiak and Aaron DrewA report for Chartered Accountants Australia and New Zealand (CAANZ).
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Robot nation? The impact of disruptive technologies on Kiwis - NZIER Insight 55
21 October 2015
By Aaron DrewThe pace of technological change is accelerating and the upcoming wave of automation may impact jobs and societies as much as occurred in the industrial revolution.
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TPP’s legacy will be long-lasting for the global economy
09 October 2015
A column for the New Zealand Herald.
As the dust settles on the Trans-Pacific Partnership negotiations, much attention will now turn to analysing the full text of the agreement and better understanding its costs and benefits.Based on first impressions, the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (NZIER) believes the agreement to be an impressive one.
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TPP an impressive achievement - NZIER Insight 54
06 October 2015
Today’s announcement that the Trans-Pacific Partnership agreement (TPP) has been concluded is good news for Kiwi firms and households. It’s not perfect, and the dairy sector in particular will naturally be frustrated. But TPP offers valuable benefits – and limited costs – across the economy.
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Business confidence drops, but firms’ own activity remains healthy - Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion, October 2015
06 October 2015
This publication is only available to NZIER members. The media release can be read here.
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The price is right: Land prices can help guide land use regulation
24 September 2015
A report to the Ministry for the Environment and New Zealand Treasury.
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El Niño: don’t scare the cows - NZIER Insight 53
22 September 2015
This summer will be a scorcher. The MetService is forecasting the most severe El Niño in over 20 years. Past El Niño events have hit farmers hard and tipped New Zealand into recession. But farming today is not the farming of yesteryear and we need to examine local conditions one region at a time to understand the likely impacts. Even under a severe event, recession is far from pre-ordained. Key commodity prices could even lift a little.