In this section you can search or browse for material published by NZIER.
NZIER members must be logged in to access member only publications:
Quarterly Predictions, 
Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion and 
CPI Forecasts.
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Our 
Public Good material and 
NZIER reports to clients are freely available.
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Inflation not expected to lift back to target band until late 2016 - CPI Forecasts, March 2016
14 March 2016
This publication is only available to NZIER members.
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Stronger growth but weaker inflation outlook - Consensus Forecasts, March 2016
14 March 2016
The latest NZIER Consensus Forecasts shows forecasters have revised up expectations of growth and employment through to 2019. Despite the more favourable growth outlook, expectations for inflation and wage growth have been lowered.
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NZIER’s Shadow Board sees no OCR change as appropriate but highlights downside risks
07 March 2016
NZIER’s Monetary Policy Shadow Board recommends the Reserve Bank holds the interest rate at 2.50 percent in its Official Cash Rate announcement this Thursday.
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Quarterly Predictions, March 2016
01 March 2016
This publication is only available to NZIER members. The media release can be read here.
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Agriculture and food and beverage GVC policy considerations
17 February 2016
The New Zealand Pacific Economic Cooperation Council (NZPECC) has released two NZIER research reports into Global Value Chains (GVCs) and Global Value Networks. Both reports focus on how Kiwi firms operate in the modern global economy, and how policy can hinder or support their growth.
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Global value networks: How to succeed in business without worrying about scale, distance or thin networks
17 February 2016
By Laurence KubiakThe New Zealand Pacific Economic Cooperation Council (NZPECC) has released two NZIER research reports into Global Value Chains (GVCs) and Global Value Networks. Both reports focus on how Kiwi firms operate in the modern global economy, and how policy can hinder or support their growth.
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Stretching runway numbers: Review of cost benefit analysis of proposed Wellington Airport runway extension
15 February 2016
By Peter CloughA report for BARNZ. Link to report.
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How would you spend a half-billion dollars on arts, culture and heritage? - NZIER Insight 58
02 February 2016
The government spends a half billion dollars on arts, culture and heritage each year but has little indication of what the public actually wants from public expenditure. At present mainly ‘experts’ decide what cultural goods and services should be supplied from the public purse.
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NZIER’s Shadow Board sees on-hold as the most appropriate action
26 January 2016
By Christina LeungNew Zealand Institute of Economic Research (Inc) Media releaseFor immediate release Tuesday 26 January 2016NZIER’s Monetary Policy Shadow Board recommends the Reserve Bank holds the interest rate at 2.50 percent in its Official Cash Rate announcement this Thursday.
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Confidence bounces back - Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion, January 2016
19 January 2016
This publication is only available to NZIER members. The media release can be read here.
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Inflation expected to lift back to target band in 2016 - Consensus CPI Forecasts, December 2015
11 December 2015
This publication is only available to NZIER members.
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Further moderation in growth expected - Consensus Forecasts, December 2015
11 December 2015
The latest NZIER Consensus Forecasts shows forecasters have pared back growth expectations for the upcoming year. The downward revisions largely reflect expectations of weaker growth in investment.
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NZIER’s Shadow Board counsels the Reserve Bank to hold fire
09 December 2015
NZIER’s Monetary Policy Shadow Board recommends the Reserve Bank holds the interest rate at 2.75 percent in its Official Cash Rate announcement this Thursday.
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Time to reassess inflation targeting - NZIER Insight 57
01 December 2015
By Christina LeungFor over a generation, inflation targeting has been successful in managing inflation without reducing economic growth. But the economic environment is changing. No longer does the Reserve Bank need to lift rates to reducedemand. Today the Reserve Bank needs to deal with supply shocks that rapidly change how New Zealand firms organise activity. Increasingly that makes inflation targeting no longer fit-for-purpose. Instead, targeting income growth – the sum of inflation and economic growth – looks the best bet to deal with new economic conditions.
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New Zealand Investment Quarterly - December 2015
01 December 2015
This publication is only available to IQ subscribers.
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New travel charge borderline at best - NZIER Insight 56
26 November 2015
The Government wants to make travellers pay for the costs of border control but the border charge is a poor user charge and an inefficient tax: it will dampen services exports and hence economic growth more than other revenue raising options. If we need additional border control it would be far better to fund the system out of general taxation and welcome more visitors to New Zealand.
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Quarterly Predictions, December 2015
24 November 2015
This publication is only available to NZIER members. The media release can be read here.
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IoD-NZIER Director Sentiment Survey 2015
16 November 2015
The New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (NZIER) with the Institute of Directors (IoD) carried out its annual Director Sentiment Survey. The survey, designed to take the pulse of the director community revealed technological and business disruption, and the time spent on risk oversight are key challenges for directors.
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The economic contribution of marine farming in the Marlborough region : A Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) analysis
09 November 2015
By Peter Clough and Erwin CorongA report to the Marine Farming Association.
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NZIER’s Shadow Board says leave the OCR at 2.75%
28 October 2015
By Christina LeungNew Zealand Institute of Economic Research (Inc) Media releaseEmbargoed until 1am Wednesday 28 October 2015 NZIER’s Monetary Policy Shadow Board recommends the Reserve Bank holds the interest rate at 2.75 percent in its Official Cash Rate announcement this Thursday.