In this section you can search or browse for material published by NZIER.

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  • Assessing the stock of regulation - A tool for regulatory stewards, NZIER public discussion paper 2016/1

    20 May 2016

    By Derek Gill and Mike Hensen

    This paper presents a new approach for systematically scanning the existing stock of a regulatory regime and identifying regulations that have a high likelihood of creating, rather than mitigating, market inefficiencies.

  • NZIER’s Shadow Board recommends the RBNZ holds this Thursday

    26 April 2016

    NZIER’s Monetary Policy Shadow Board recommends the Reserve Bank holds the interest rate at 2.25 percent in its Official Cash Rate announcement this Thursday.

  • The economics of TPP

    06 April 2016

    A presentation to Sustainability Week.

  • NZIER’s Shadow Board sees no OCR change as appropriate but highlights downside risks

    07 March 2016

    NZIER’s Monetary Policy Shadow Board recommends the Reserve Bank holds the interest rate at 2.50 percent in its Official Cash Rate announcement this Thursday.

  • How would you spend a half-billion dollars on arts, culture and heritage? - NZIER Insight 58

    02 February 2016

    By Todd Krieble

    The government spends a half billion dollars on arts, culture and heritage each year but has little indication of what the public actually wants from public expenditure. At present mainly ‘experts’ decide what cultural goods and services should be supplied from the public purse.

  • NZIER’s Shadow Board sees on-hold as the most appropriate action

    26 January 2016

    By Christina Leung

    New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (Inc) Media releaseFor immediate release Tuesday 26 January 2016NZIER’s Monetary Policy Shadow Board recommends the Reserve Bank holds the interest rate at 2.50 percent in its Official Cash Rate announcement this Thursday.

  • Further moderation in growth expected - Consensus Forecasts, December 2015

    11 December 2015

    The latest NZIER Consensus Forecasts shows forecasters have pared back growth expectations for the upcoming year. The downward revisions largely reflect expectations of weaker growth in investment. 

  • NZIER’s Shadow Board counsels the Reserve Bank to hold fire

    09 December 2015

    NZIER’s Monetary Policy Shadow Board recommends the Reserve Bank holds the interest rate at 2.75 percent in its Official Cash Rate announcement this Thursday.

  • Time to reassess inflation targeting - NZIER Insight 57

    01 December 2015

    By Christina Leung

    For over a generation, inflation targeting has been successful in managing inflation without reducing economic growth. But the economic environment is changing. No longer does the Reserve Bank need to lift rates to reducedemand. Today the Reserve Bank needs to deal with supply shocks that rapidly change how New Zealand firms organise activity. Increasingly that makes inflation targeting no longer fit-for-purpose. Instead, targeting income growth – the sum of inflation and economic growth – looks the best bet to deal with new economic conditions.

  • New travel charge borderline at best - NZIER Insight 56

    26 November 2015

    The Government wants to make travellers pay for the costs of border control but the border charge is a poor user charge and an inefficient tax: it will dampen services exports and hence economic growth more than other revenue raising options. If we need additional border control it would be far better to fund the system out of general taxation and welcome more visitors to New Zealand.

  • IoD-NZIER Director Sentiment Survey 2015

    16 November 2015

    The New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (NZIER) with the Institute of Directors (IoD) carried out its annual Director Sentiment Survey. The survey, designed to take the pulse of the director community revealed technological and business disruption, and the time spent on risk oversight are key challenges for directors.

  • NZIER’s Shadow Board says leave the OCR at 2.75%

    28 October 2015

    By Christina Leung

    New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (Inc) Media releaseEmbargoed until 1am Wednesday 28 October 2015 NZIER’s Monetary Policy Shadow Board recommends the Reserve Bank holds the interest rate at 2.75 percent in its Official Cash Rate announcement this Thursday.

  • Robot nation? The impact of disruptive technologies on Kiwis - NZIER Insight 55

    21 October 2015

    The pace of technological change is accelerating and the upcoming wave of automation may impact jobs and societies as much as occurred in the industrial revolution.   

  • TPP an impressive achievement - NZIER Insight 54

    06 October 2015

    Today’s announcement that the Trans-Pacific Partnership agreement (TPP) has been concluded is good news for Kiwi firms and households. It’s not perfect, and the dairy sector in particular will naturally be frustrated. But TPP offers valuable benefits – and limited costs – across the economy.

  • El Niño: don’t scare the cows - NZIER Insight 53

    22 September 2015

    This summer will be a scorcher. The MetService is forecasting the most severe El Niño in over 20 years. Past El Niño events have hit farmers hard and tipped New Zealand into recession. But farming today is not the farming of yesteryear and we need to examine local conditions one region at a time to understand the likely impacts. Even under a severe event, recession is far from pre-ordained. Key commodity prices could even lift a little.

  • Increased uncertainty over growth outlook, Consensus Forecasts, September 2015

    14 September 2015

    The latest NZIER Consensus Forecasts shows a further downward revision in growth expectations amongst forecasters since the June survey.

  • Speed dating central bank style - NZIER Insight 52

    01 September 2015

    From next year, the Reserve Bank will let go one chance each year to meet and set interest rates. That means the Reserve Bank could easily fall behind the run rate on the interest rate settings required to manage the economy.There are ways to improve how interest rates are set. Meeting less often is not one of them.

  • Sitting down on the job - NZIER Insight 51

    31 July 2015

    By Derek Gill

    Responding to obesity, the most pressing health issue facing New Zealand, will require working differently to design policy responses. Rather than top down policy interventions like 'sugar taxes', we need mixed strategies designed with those who experience obesity.    

  • NZIER's Shadow Board calls for the OCR to be cut to 3%

    22 July 2015

    NZIER’s Monetary Policy Shadow Board recommends the Reserve Bank cuts the interest rate by 25 basis points to 3 percent this Thursday.

  • Growth expectations softening - Consensus Forecasts, June 2015

    15 June 2015

    The latest NZIER Consensus Forecasts shows forecasters have pared back growth expectations slightly since the March quarter survey. Activity indicators over the past quarter have been mixed, with global dairy prices continuing to fall but household spending remaining strong.