In this section you can search or browse for material published by NZIER.
NZIER members must be logged in to access member only publications:
Quarterly Predictions, 
Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion and 
CPI Forecasts.
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Our 
Public Good material and 
NZIER reports to clients are freely available.
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Pandemic uncertainty: NZIER points to key planning issues - NZIER Insight 85
17 April 2020
By Sarah HoganNew Zealand is approaching the end of the planned four-week lockdown which has brought about significant economic losses and, it appears, significant benefits in the form of lives saved. As the country now looks toward a relaxing of the COVID-19 Alert level and an uncertain future, we offer some advice about decision-making.
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Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion - April 2020
07 April 2020
This publication is only available to NZIER members. The media release can be read here.
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NZIER Consensus Forecasts shows growth outlook highly uncertain - Consensus Forecasts, March 2020
16 March 2020
Note: Consensus Forecasts were finalised prior to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s emergency OCR cut of 75bp which was announced at 8am this morning.
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NZIER Consensus CPI forecasts - March 2020
16 March 2020
This publication is only available to NZIER members.
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Sustainable midwifery: Supporting improved wellbeing and greater equity
05 March 2020
By Michael BealingNZIER finds that improved well-being and equity for mothers and babies depends on addressing the 3Cs faced by community midwives - complexity, caseloads and conditions.
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Estimating demand for competition analysis : A statistical exploration, and some possible applications
02 March 2020
A report for Productivity Hub by NZIER, with the assistance of Cognitus Economic Insight. This study investigates the feasibility of estimating Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS) for selected expenditure classes using administrative data available in New Zealand and explores the applicability of AIDS model estimates for competition and wider policy analyses.
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NZIER expects coronavirus and drought to put a brief handbrake on the economy - Quarterly Predictions, March 2020
27 February 2020
The combination of the COVID-19 coronavirus outbreak and drought is expected to deliver a short sharp shock to the New Zealand economy, as detailed in the latest NZIER Quarterly Predictions. “Exporters are expected to bear the brunt of the effects, and we expect activity will be flat in the March quarter. Although we expect the effects to linger over the remainder of 2020, as they lessen over time growth should pick up from the March low”, said Principal Economist Christina Leung.
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Quarterly Predictions, March 2020 - NZIER members only
25 February 2020
This publication is only available to NZIER members.
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New Zealand’s pandemic response: Best practice or just a practice run? NZIER Insight 84
20 February 2020
By Todd Krieble and Sarah Hogan -
NZIER’s Shadow Board recommends no change under coronavirus cloud
10 February 2020
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Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion - January 2020
14 January 2020
This publication is only available to NZIER members. The media release can be read here.
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The value of MetService’s public weather forecasts and weather warnings
17 December 2019
By Derek Gill -
Consensus Forecasts show annual inflation is expected to track near 2% - Consensus CPI forecasts, December 2019
16 December 2019
This publication is only available to NZIER members.
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Economic impacts of 2019 Review of Sustainability Measures – East Coast Tarakihi : a CGE analysis and forecast model
13 December 2019
By Chris Nixon -
Recession: what are the chances? NZIER Insight 83
12 December 2019
By Christina Leung -
Video: Recession: what are the chances in 2020? NZIER Insight 83
12 December 2019
There is a low risk of a recession in 2020, said NZIER in an Insight released today. The article looks at some of the warning signs of a recession and the tools available to combat the effects if a recession was to occur.
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Location, location, location : The value of having a port in the neighbourhood
11 December 2019
By Peter Wilson