Why Mexico won’t pay for Trump’s wall - NZIER Insight 68

03 February 2017

NZIER’s QSBO shows businesses continue to expect good times ahead - Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion, January 2017

17 January 2017

This publication is only available to NZIER members. The media release can be read here.

Defining social investment, Kiwi-style, NZIER public discussion paper 2016/5

20 December 2016

Social investment – new right agenda or new wine in old bottles? NZIER Insight 67

16 December 2016

Pacific economic trends and snapshot 2016

14 December 2016

Pacific Economic Trends and Snapshot 2016 updates our 2013 Snapshot and provides new insights that can be used to inform policies, programmes and further research. This 2016 update includes new statistics on housing and Pasifika businesses.

Inflation now expected to get back within target band by the end of 2016 - CPI Forecasts, December 2016

12 December 2016

This publication is only available to NZIER members.

Growth and inflation revised up - Consensus Forecasts, December 2016

12 December 2016

The latest NZIER Consensus Forecasts shows forecasters have revised up their growth and inflation forecasts. A stronger household sector drives much of the upward revision to growth in the New Zealand economy.

Pacific Cultural Centre feasibility study

06 December 2016

A report for the Ministry for Pacific Peoples.

Quarterly Predictions, December 2016

29 November 2016

This publication is only available to NZIER members. The media release can be read here.

Quantifying the costs of non-tariff measures in the Asia-Pacific region: Initial estimates, NZIER public discussion paper 2016/4

28 November 2016

Non-tariff barriers are costing Kiwi firms billions each year. Our new public discussion paper has estimated the cost of non-tariff measures (NTMs) on trade in the APEC region. It shows that New Zealand’s exporters face NTMs that impose costs of US$5.9 billion.

Tsunami risk: do we learn our way forward, or repeat the mistakes of the past? - NZIER Insight 66

18 November 2016

New Zealand has just had a ‘near miss’ with tsunami risk – for the second time in the last three months. This Insight, which updates an earlier Insight (no. 63), reinforces the message that we need to learn from these events so that major but infrequent risks can be mitigated. We need an independent expert review so that we can take an evidence-based approach to learning from near misses. The Minister has signalled an overhaul of the ‘command and control’ structure but this review needs to look across the whole system.

NZIER’s Shadow Board recommends the RBNZ hold the OCR steady

08 November 2016

NZIER’s Monetary Policy Shadow Board recommends the Reserve Bank continues to keep the Official Cash Rate on hold this Thursday at 2 percent. While a few members called for a 25 basis point cut, most saw it appropriate to leave the OCR unchanged.

Trumponomics: Risks to the New Zealand economy - NZIER Insight 65

03 November 2016

It looks more likely that Donald Trump could be elected as President of the United States (POTUS). Predictions now give Trump a 20-30% chance of victory, though these numbers are changing daily and who knows what scandals might surface between now and polling day on 8 November. We are also wary that most commentators didn’t give Brexit a great chance of occurring, but were proven wrong.

A learning system for evidence informed social policy - NZIER Insight 64

27 October 2016

Effective social policy and service delivery requires a learning system. Imagine if…New Zealand had an effective learning system to generate and capture evidence to inform spending decisions for social policy. A good learning system will include evidence about ‘doing the right things’ as well as ‘doing things right’. In this Insight we discuss three promising practices that New Zealand could adopt.

Kiwi firms increasingly buoyant despite facing severe skills shortages, NZIER’s QSBO shows - Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion, October 2016

04 October 2016

This publication is only available to NZIER members. The media release can be read here.

NZIER’s Shadow Board recommends the RBNZ hold the OCR steady

20 September 2016

NZIER’s Monetary Policy Shadow Board recommends the Reserve Bank keeps the Official Cash Rate on hold this Thursday at 2 percent. While the Shadow Board had a wide range of views, on balance there is still an underlying preference for a cut in the rate.

Tsunami risk: more needs to be done - NZIER Insight 63

19 September 2016

The recent earthquake and associated small tsunami provide a timely wakeup call. New Zealand needs to take the opportunity to learn from this ‘near miss’, and to invest in some ‘quick wins’ that can reduce our huge exposure to tsunami risk at low cost. 

Improving local government needs better policy advice - NZIER Insight 62

16 September 2016

Local government regulatory activities have an important effect on local and regional economic growth and, ultimately, national economic growth and community wellbeing. This places a premium on local government organisations having high quality policy advice and decision-making processes in place. High quality policy advice, which supports good regulatory design and implementation and sound investment decisions, is critical to improving performance.

Stronger growth outlook but inflation remains subdued - Consensus Forecasts, September 2016

12 September 2016

The latest NZIER Consensus Forecasts shows forecasters have again revised up their growth forecasts.