• COVD-19

    17 March 2020

    Dear members, clients and stakeholders of NZIER

    Given the developing nature of the Covid-19 situation, I want to provide you with some information about what NZIER is doing. Our prime objective is to make sure that our employees, members, clients and other stakeholders are safe and well and receiving the support they need.

    NZIER remains open for business and we will continue to serve our clients and members and deliver projects on time, but with some restrictions on face-to-face meetings and changes to business practices.

    This means:

    • our offices remain open for now, with all NZIER staff able to work from home seamlessly using our cloud and remote systems.
    • we are moving in-person meetings to virtual meetings using Zoom, Teams and Skype.
    • the QSBO lockup on 7 April and our quarterly economic briefings in May could become online-only events. More details to follow on this.
    • there will be no Shadow Board publication on 25 March

    We expect to continue to operate with little disruption, with our staff working from home as needed using our cloud and remote systems that enable our teams to work together remotely.

    We will update our response as needed as the situation develops. Thank you for your valued support and please do not hesitate to contact us if you have any questions or concerns about active projects or workstreams.

    Kind regards
    Laurence Kubiak
    Chief Executive

  • NZIER Consensus Forecasts shows growth outlook highly uncertain - Consensus Forecasts, March 2020

    16 March 2020

    Note: Consensus Forecasts were finalised prior to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s emergency OCR cut of 75bp which was announced at 8am this morning.

    The latest NZIER Consensus Forecasts highlights the large degree of uncertainty over the effects of the COVID-19 coronavirus outbreak on the New Zealand economy. This uncertainty is reflected in the range of forecasts across the key economic measures being greater than usual.

    Link to release.

  • Sustainable midwifery: Supporting improved wellbeing and greater equity

    05 March 2020

    NZIER report to New Zealand College of Midwives.

    NZIER finds that improved well-being and equity for mothers and babies depends on addressing the 3Cs faced by community midwives - complexity, caseloads and conditions.

    Read the report here.

  • NZIER expects coronavirus and drought to put a brief handbrake on the economy - Quarterly Predictions, March 2020

    26 February 2020

    The combination of the COVID-19 coronavirus outbreak and drought is expected to deliver a short sharp shock to the New Zealand economy, as detailed in the latest NZIER Quarterly Predictions. “Exporters are expected to bear the brunt of the effects, and we expect activity will be flat in the March quarter. Although we expect the effects to linger over the remainder of 2020, as they lessen over time growth should pick up from the March low”, said Principal Economist Christina Leung.

    Read the media release here.

  • Coronavirus Covid-19: New Zealand should focus more on health system preparedness over travel bans

    20 February 2020

    Using evidence from health and economic literature, health economists Sarah Hogan and Todd Krieble find that New Zealand should do more to prepare for pandemics and assist the Pacific Islands. New Zealand should not rely on travel bans which are likely to be ineffective. Read the Insight here.

  • NZIER’s Shadow Board recommends no change under coronavirus cloud

    10 February 2020

    There remains a wide range of views amongst the NZIER Policy Shadow Board on the appropriate level of the OCR at the Monetary Policy Statement (MPS) release on Wednesday. Although Shadow Board members acknowledged the positive developments in the New Zealand economy, the recent coronavirus outbreak has introduced further uncertainty over the global growth outlook. Overall, Shadow Board members still called for the OCR to be kept on hold. Read the release here.

  • NZIER’s QSBO shows pick-up in business confidence - Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion, January 2020

    14 January 2020

    The latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion (QSBO) shows an improvement in business confidence in the final quarter of 2019, with a smaller proportion of businesses expecting a worsening in general economic conditions.

    Meanwhile firms’ own trading activity, which provides a better indication of demand in the New Zealand economy, remained soft. The proportion of businesses reporting weaker demand in December 2019 remained at 11 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis, suggesting annual GDP growth of around 1 percent towards the end of 2019.

    This publication is only available to NZIER members. The media release can be read here.

  • NZIER Consensus Forecasts show a slightly lower growth outlook - Consensus Forecasts, December 2019

    16 December 2019

    The growth outlook has been revised down slightly in the latest NZIER Consensus Forecasts, relative to the previous quarter.

    Read the release here.

  • Summer Reading List for the Prime Minister 2019

    03 December 2019

    Today the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research Incorporated (NZIER) has released its inaugural Summer Reading List for the Prime Minister.
    “NZIER supports New Zealanders reading, taking time to think long thoughts, and discussing them. Summer is good for that” said NZIER’s Chief Executive Laurence Kubiak.

    The list was prepared as part of the NZIER Public Good programme, which carries out economic research and thinking aimed at promoting a better understanding of New Zealand’s important economic challenges.

    Read more here.

  • NZIER sees weaker growth outlook as uncertainty weighs on demand - Quarterly Predictions, December 2019

    27 November 2019

    Growth is expected to slow further over the coming years as uncertainty here and abroad make businesses and households more cautious about spending, as detailed in the latest NZIER Quarterly Predictions.

    Quarterly Predictions is an independent review of New Zealand’s economic outlook and includes comprehensive forecasts of the economy. The full publication is available exclusively to NZIER’s members.

    Read the media release here.