We combine our understanding of the New Zealand economy with global trade patterns and policy to help clients develop effective export strategies and international trade agreements.
Principal Economistchris.nixon[at]nzier [dot] org [dot] nz
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01 September 2020
By Chris Nixon
What might US Withdrawal from the World Trade Organization mean for New Zealand? NZIER Public Discussion Paper 2020/2
11 August 2020
By Derek Gill and Milad Maralani
Modelling by NZIER suggests that New Zealand medium term exposure to US withdrawal from World Trade Organisation (WTO) is surprisingly limited. We modelled five different scenarios of global and New Zealand responses to the US imposing tariff rates last seen in the great depression. While impact is negative for both the US and China in all scenarios, the change in New Zealand GDP is less than 1%.