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Publications are listed in reverse date order with the most recent at the top.

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  1. 04 February 2011

    Forecast - New Zealand trends in property and construction. Prepared by NZIER exclusively for Rider Levett Bucknall.

  2. 01 February 2011

    The Government has recently announced that it will be extending the policy regarding 90-day trial periods for new workers to all employers, not just those with fewer than 20 employees. NZIER’s preliminary analysis suggests that this extension is likely have a positive impact on employment.

  3. 28 January 2011

    Labour’s proposed tax-free threshold for the first $5,000 of wages and removing GST from fresh fruit and vegetables will cost around $1.7 billion in the first year. This is to be funded by raising the top tax rate for high income earners. From an economic perspective, these proposals would be a big step backward.

  4. 27 January 2011

    Booming foreign demand and adverse weather conditions have led to a significant increase in global food prices. In this Insight, NZIER models the impacts of high food prices on New Zealand and finds that it's not good news for Kiwis. The article also discusses policy implications as well potential international solutions.

  5. 25 January 2011

    In Tracking the Economy, NZIER's weekly column for the National Business Review.

  6. 11 January 2011
  7. 24 December 2010

    What do New Zealand’s musical preferences suggest about the economic outlook for 2011? Using a highly scientific method, our in-depth analysis of the current New Zealand Top 10 songs aligns well with our take on the economy. The outlook is mixed and messy, much like the tunes played by a drunken DJ.

  8. 22 December 2010

    In Tracking the Economy, NZIER's weekly column for the National Business Review.

  9. 15 December 2010

    An occasional column for the Dominion Post newspaper.

    New Zealand is nowhere near the perilous economic position of Europe.  But the recent downgrade by Standard & Poor’s is a timely reminder that in a sick world, we can’t afford to cough.  We need to change our diet and our lifestyle writes Jean-Pierre de Raad.

  10. 14 December 2010

    Economic forecasters expect a slowing recovery before conditions strengthen in the March 2012 year.

  11. 08 December 2010

    A report to Fonterra and Dairy NZ, that examines the sector's contribution to the economy.
    Link to report. [on Fonterra's website]

  12. 23 November 2010

    A report for Fonterra Co-Operative Group Ltd

  13. 18 November 2010

    NZIER's report for Fonterra says DIRA regulations costing NZ.
    Link to report on Fonterra's website.

  14. 16 November 2010

    The Prime Minister and Trade Minister have announced that New Zealand will be entering free trade agreement (FTA) negotiations with Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan (RBK) with the aim of concluding talks in 2012. NZIER modelling indicates the FTA will deliver gains of around $27 million to New Zealand.

  15. 16 November 2010

    NZIER modelled the facility and workforce supply response to the projected increase in demand for aged residential care out to 2026. The modelling results are reported in the Grant Thornton review jointly commissioned by NZ Aged Care Association and 20 District Health Boards.

  16. 15 November 2010

    In Tracking the Economy, NZIER's weekly column for the National Business Review.

  17. 12 November 2010

    Increasing New Zealand's saving rate -  a preliminary dynamic CGE analysis

    This paper uses NZIER’s dynamic Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model of the New Zealand economy to conduct a preliminary investigation into how an increase in New Zealand’s national savings would affect New Zealand’s GDP and living standards. We do not specify how this increase might take place. We find that increased saving would reduce our overseas debt and thus cut our debt servicingrepayments. It is likely that the risk premium on borrowing costs would also fall under such a scenario. This would help boost investment.

  18. 09 November 2010

    In Tracking the Economy, NZIER's weekly column for the National Business Review.

  19. 03 November 2010

    The economic impacts of retaining tariffs in New Zealand - a  dynamic CGE analysis

    The government has decided to freeze all remaining tariffs in New Zealand to 2015. The only reductions will come about through Free Trade Agreements. We use a dynamic Computable General Equilibrium model of the New Zealand economy to examine the economic impacts of this policy decision. The results show that retaining these tariffs has a very small negative impact on GDP. We also show that households are in fact very slightly better off if tariffs remain in place, due to the negative terms of trade effects associated with tariff removal. The overall conclusion is that the decision to freeze tariffs is not a big deal from an economic perspective.

  20. 03 November 2010

    Kiwis fly to Australia in search of a better nest

    The continuous flow of Kiwis to Australia is closely linked to Australia’s economic performance. The big difference in income between Australia and New Zealand is likely to be a major factor. Life style factors and incomes in New Zealand are still appealing enough to attract a healthy flow of immigrants that more than compensates for the flow across the ditch – which is why the Treasury has previously termed this a brain exchange rather than a brain drain. But the combined effect of a growing income gap and larger population is predicted to lead to a net outflow of 26,000 people per year.

  21. 31 October 2010

    In Tracking the Economy, NZIER's weekly column for the National Business Review.

  22. 25 October 2010

    In Tracking the Economy, NZIER's weekly column for the National Business Review.

  23. 18 October 2010

    Key considerations for New Zealand's exporters. A report for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade, August 2010.

  24. 17 October 2010

    An occasional column for the Dominion Post newspaper

    If the price of a flatscreen TV rose $30, would it stop you from buying it?  The recent changes in GST and personal income tax rates are too small to have anything but a small effect on our spending and investment habits. A bolder shift in our taxation system is needed to reward productivity and boost economic growth writes Jean-Pierre de Raad.

  25. 15 October 2010

    Universities New Zealand – Te Pōkai Tara commissioned the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (NZIER) to model the economic impact of investment in university teaching and research.