Browse by publication topic: economy

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  1. 08 November 2013

    A report for the Building and Construction Sector Productivity Partnership.

    The Building and Construction Productivity Partnership has asked NZIER for a broad assessment of productivity issues facing the New Zealand construction sector and testable hypotheses for its future work programme. The partnership has an aim to deliver a 20% increase in productivity by 2020.

  2. 26 March 2013

    New Zealand businesses need to start making changes to prepare for major structural shifts in how firms will do things over the coming decades. NZIER predicts the ageing New Zealand population will see fewer productive workers in proportion to the number of retirees which will drive up wages. Firms need to prepare. “These are global issues but the sooner New Zealand businesses plan for these coming changes the better,” Dr Lees says.

  3. 21 March 2013

    Like much of the world, New Zealand’s economy is still feeling the lingering consequences of the global financial crisis and the hang-over of its own asset price bubble. The economy is recovering slowly. In the last few years, households have spent cautiously and paid down mortgages. This was an adjustment that needed to happen. But net foreign liabilities are still very high and recent credit growth raises concerns that the adjustment has not been enough. Major action will be needed to contain the ageing-related growth in government spending that is about to hit us, and lift economic growth. Steps have been made in the right direction, but further reforms are needed. New Zealanders need to be prepared to make sacrifices in the short run to make progress in the long run. The longer we delay action, the bleaker our prospects.

  4. 08 March 2013

    As part of the East Coast oil and gas Development study, NZIER was commissioned by the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment to do an economic study of the national and regional impacts of the potential development scenarios. Link to report.

  5. 01 March 2013

    In 30 years’ time New Zealanders will be choosing to retire at least three years later than we do now. Living longer means working longer. We will want to save more for our retirement as our life expectancy increases. Working longer will also be more attractive as an ageing population will drive up wages. In NZIER’s latest research paper, we quantify the impact of an ageing population on future wages and interest rates, and people's savings and retirement decisions.

  6. 26 February 2013
  7. 13 February 2013

    The New Zealand economy is recovering gradually from a long recession. 2013 will be another challenging year, but better than 2012.
    Findings from the MYOB Business Monitor. A report by NZIER for MYOB.

  8. 23 October 2012

    An opinion piece by Shamubeel Eaqub, Principal Economist at NZIER in Auckland Council's, Auckland Economic Quarterly - October 2012.

  9. 06 September 2012

    Before Graeme Wheeler starts his new job as Governor of the Reserve Bank, he must sign a new Policy Targets Agreement (PTA) that sets the goalposts for monetary policy. This is an opportunity to introduce macro-prudential tools to help ease the exchange rate impact of inflation targeting.

  10. 18 July 2012

    New Zealand's population is ageing – confronting firms to respond to the opportunities an ageing population brings. The most successful firms will need to have a clear understanding of the impacts of demographic change on not just consumer demand, but also the supply side of business. This means putting in place strategies to address the impact of ageing on the make-up of the workforce, succession planning and where new ideas will come from.

  11. 26 June 2012

    Consumers, supermarkets and distributors in Germany and the United Kingdom have been demanding reduced chemical use on fruit. The innovative growing programme ‘Apple Futures’ brought scientists and growers together to figure out how to reduce sprays and residues while producing export-quality fruit. Analysis from NZIER found that the research programme preserved between $25m and $35m per year of industry net income from 2008 to 2011, at a research cost of $3.2m. In just four years, the apple industry earned up to an extra $113m by reducing chemical residues to one-tenth of the maximum set by the European Union.

  12. 03 May 2012

    A report to Kapiti Coast District Council.
    An assessment of the ‘new economy’approach to economic development on the Kapiti Coast.

  13. 18 April 2012

    The Canterbury earthquakes have disrupted lives and the economy. This Insight brings together key economic indicators to provide a second snapshot of the economic disruption.   We find encouraging signs of stabilisation.

  14. 14 March 2012

    Proust’s À la recherche du temps perdu (In search of lost time) inspired the Proust index in The Economist newspaper of 25 February 2012. The Economist looked across a number of economic measures to see how far back countries have slipped since the global economic crisis. We replicated the Proust index for New Zealand. The recession has cost us dear. In economic terms, New Zealand is now back in 2005.

  15. 27 January 2012

    New Zealand struggles to grow its economy partially due to its small size and remote location. There is little that can be done to change location, but the size can be increased over time. It is feasible to adopt a population policy with the aim of the population reaching 15 million in the next 50 years – an annual growth rate of 2.5% per annum. This would bring the size and density of the population to levels closer to more prosperous European countries. Fifteen million – two and a half times current projections – is a good target, too, as it allows for several large cities, fostering competition within New Zealand.

  16. 25 January 2012

    An occasional column for the Dominion Post newspaper.

    The government has agreed to investigate United Future’s flexi-superannuation proposal - the idea that people are able to choose whether to take up superannuation at age 60 at a reduced rate or at a higher rate at some later age. It is good that changes to superannuation are on the table. But it is critical that discussion is not limited to just this flexibility.


  17. 08 November 2011

    The Canterbury earthquakes have disrupted lives and the economy. This Insight brings together key economic indicators to provide a snapshot of the economic disruption. The true cost of the disaster will not be known for some time. The immediate clean-up and reconstruction is boosting demand in certain sectors like utilities, construction, safety, healthcare and social assistance. These have not fully offset reduced activity in other sectors.

  18. 30 September 2011

    The main reason for the growing income gap between New Zealand and Australia are differences in the quality of management, process innovation and the quality of labour and capital, finds new research released by NZIER. This finding contrasts with the more conventional belief that a lack of capital intensity or differences in mining wealth is the issue.  “When we adjust for differences in the structure of our economy, we find that the income gap with Australia is not so much because it does different things, but because, in the things we do too, Australia does it better”, said Jean-Pierre de Raad, NZIER’s chief executive.
    “Only 30% of the productivity gap is due to the structure of the economy. Mining is not the secret to Australia’s success.”
    “We also find that capital intensity is not the main thing we should be concerned about, as differences primarily reflect economic structures. Instead, New Zealand’s main problem is the underperformance of industries.”

  19. 08 August 2011

    An occasional column for the Dominion Post newspaper.
    The debt crises in the US and Europe are a collision of political wishful thinking and economic reality. Jean-Pierre de Raad writes that New Zealand would do well to face its own fiscal demons now.

  20. 05 May 2011

    An occasional column for the Dominion Post newspaper.
    Jean-Pierre de Raad writes that to tackle our long term problems the government has to revisit policy options it has previously dismissed.

  21. 25 January 2011

    In Tracking the Economy, NZIER's weekly column for the National Business Review.

  22. 11 January 2011
  23. 24 December 2010

    What do New Zealand’s musical preferences suggest about the economic outlook for 2011? Using a highly scientific method, our in-depth analysis of the current New Zealand Top 10 songs aligns well with our take on the economy. The outlook is mixed and messy, much like the tunes played by a drunken DJ.

  24. 22 December 2010

    In Tracking the Economy, NZIER's weekly column for the National Business Review.

  25. 15 December 2010

    An occasional column for the Dominion Post newspaper.

    New Zealand is nowhere near the perilous economic position of Europe.  But the recent downgrade by Standard & Poor’s is a timely reminder that in a sick world, we can’t afford to cough.  We need to change our diet and our lifestyle writes Jean-Pierre de Raad.