Publications

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Publications are listed in reverse date order with the most recent at the top.

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  1. 16 February 2012

    An occasional column for the Dominion Post.

    New Zealand’s current trade negotiations present new opportunities for economic growth. Unlike the trade deals of the past, the potential benefits will be more subtle, but no less significant for long term prosperity.  NZIER’s Chief Executive Jean-Pierre de Raad explains that because these benefits are less visible it is all the more important to make a hard-nosed economic assessment to inform and provide balance to public debate.

  2. 15 February 2012

    In Tracking the Economy, NZIER's weekly column for the National Business Review.

  3. 08 February 2012

    In Tracking the Economy, NZIER's weekly column for the National Business Review.

  4. 01 February 2012

    In Tracking the Economy, NZIER's weekly column for the National Business Review.

  5. 31 January 2012

    An occasional column for the Dominion Post newspaper.

    This year will be extremely tough year for the public service.  Public sector and welfare reforms were going to be demanding enough. Now, filling a bigger than anticipated fiscal hole will provide a far tougher challenge.
    It now seems very unlikely that the government is going to get its books back to surplus by 2015, despite keeping tight reins on spending.

  6. 27 January 2012

    New Zealand struggles to grow its economy partially due to its small size and remote location. There is little that can be done to change location, but the size can be increased over time. It is feasible to adopt a population policy with the aim of the population reaching 15 million in the next 50 years – an annual growth rate of 2.5% per annum. This would bring the size and density of the population to levels closer to more prosperous European countries. Fifteen million – two and a half times current projections – is a good target, too, as it allows for several large cities, fostering competition within New Zealand.

  7. 26 January 2012

    In Tracking the Economy, NZIER's weekly column for the National Business Review.

  8. 25 January 2012

    An occasional column for the Dominion Post newspaper.

    The government has agreed to investigate United Future’s flexi-superannuation proposal - the idea that people are able to choose whether to take up superannuation at age 60 at a reduced rate or at a higher rate at some later age. It is good that changes to superannuation are on the table. But it is critical that discussion is not limited to just this flexibility.

     

  9. 17 January 2012
  10. 22 December 2011

    In Tracking the Economy, NZIER's weekly column for the National Business Review.

  11. 16 December 2011

    A report to Te Puni Kōkiri.
    Increasing exports as a share of GDP is a key government priority. Te Puni Kōkiri commissioned this short report to provide an overview of why exporting is important for Māori businesses, which sectors of the Māori economy might be well suited for export growth, and what Māori firms need to think about as they prepare to enter overseas markets.

  12. 12 December 2011

    The recovery will slower than previously thought, according to the NZIER Consensus Forecasts. But the economy will still grow: 2.2% in the year ending March 2012 and then accelerate to 3.0% in 2013 and 2014. The Canterbury reconstruction will be a key driver, with the rest of the economy growing more modestly, averaging 2.2% over the next three years.

  13. 12 December 2011

    In Tracking the Economy, NZIER's weekly column for the National Business Review.

  14. 05 December 2011

    In Tracking the Economy, NZIER's weekly column for the National Business Review.

  15. 02 December 2011

    Do you get the sense that New Zealand doesn’t invest in the major public infrastructure facilities like we used to? Previous generations built entire networks for rail, road, water and energy. Only Muldoon’s Think Big projects and the current ‘Roads of National Significance’ might compare. Major infrastructure investment decisions come down to how much we care about our future, and the future of our children and grandchildren. The government’s social discount rate policy captures in a single number how much decision makers care about the future relative to today. The default public sector stance is to use an 8% real (i.e. net of inflation) discount rate. But is 8% right?

  16. 01 December 2011
  17. 30 November 2011

    In Tracking the Economy, NZIER's weekly column for the National Business Review.

  18. 21 November 2011

    In Tracking the Economy, NZIER's weekly column for the National Business Review.

  19. 18 November 2011

    This Insight discusses the common pitfalls with undertaking policy development and ultimately writing a snappy, easy to follow RIS.

  20. 15 November 2011

    In Tracking the Economy, NZIER's weekly column for the National Business Review.

  21. 09 November 2011

    In Tracking the Economy, NZIER's weekly column for the National Business Review.

  22. 08 November 2011

    The Canterbury earthquakes have disrupted lives and the economy. This Insight brings together key economic indicators to provide a snapshot of the economic disruption. The true cost of the disaster will not be known for some time. The immediate clean-up and reconstruction is boosting demand in certain sectors like utilities, construction, safety, healthcare and social assistance. These have not fully offset reduced activity in other sectors.

  23. 03 November 2011

    John Ballingall, Deputy CE, recently presented to an APEC Trade Policy Dialogue in San Francisco on the trade and investment implications of disruption to submarine cables. The workshop was organised by the Australian Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade.

  24. 02 November 2011

    Performance indices are used worldwide as indicators of activity in key sectors to assist analysts and decision-makers. An advantage of these indices is that, by pooling information from the series that make up the indices, idiosyncratic variation is smoothed out, and a stable and potentially more robust indicator of direction is constructed. Our study shows that individual sector diffusion indices from the QSBO are both good coincidental and leading indicators of economic activity.

  25. 31 October 2011

    In Tracking the Economy, NZIER's weekly column for the National Business Review.

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